AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School AP Statistics 2014-2015 Email LMS Remind (texts) Website [email protected] www.myhaikuclass.com/paige.rios/apstatistics (530) 402-8738 @shapstats https://sites.google.com/site/riosshhs Brief Description of Course: This course will emphasize statistics as a practical discipline. Exercises will involve mathematical computation, interpretation and written response. Exercise topics will require students to discuss the problem and justify the method (think), to do some work by hand or technology (show), and to draw a reasoned conclusion that responds to the initial motivation for the exercise (tell). The course will examine data analysis through statistical graphs, standard deviation, sampling variability, inference, data re-expression, sample surveys and experiments, and probability distributions. Students using data from issues that students are likely to encounter in everyday life from games of chance, politics, business, social sciences, science, and sports. Course Material: • Primary Textbook: Bock, David E, Paul F. Vellemen and Richard D. DeVeaux. Stats: Modeling the World. 4th edition; Boston: Pearson/Addison Wesley, 2014. • Students are expected to have a TI-83, TI-84+, or TI-Inspire calculator for this course. • A graph-paper ruled composition book is required for chapter notes • A binder to keep handouts organized is also required. • In addition, an AP Statistics guide is highly recommended for the second semester. Grading: Quizzes Problem Sets Exams Investigative Tasks Frappys (FRQ) 60% 40% As this is an AP course, the material is presented quickly in order to make sure you have been introduced to all material prior to the exam on May 13th. If you are absent, you are required to keep in touch with me regarding assignments and to use the website and textbook to continue to learn the material. Each chapter builds on the chapter preceding it and all teaching in class will be planned under the assumption that you are reading the textbook and watching the corresponding videos. If you are absent on a due date, your work is still due that day as either a hardcopy or an electronic copy. If you are absent on a test or quiz date, you need to make arrangements with me for a make-up. 2014-2015 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School Course Expectations All work assigned acts as an assessment of conceptual understanding. Given that, each assignment will be scored for accuracy not simply completion. Reading/Videos Problem Sets Investigative Tasks/Frappys Quizzes and Exams Prior to the start of each chapter, students are expected to read the corresponding textbook chapter and take notes. In addition, videos posted on the LMS provide additional examination of each chapter’s topics. Notes should be taken in graph-paper ruled composition book. Each chapter will have a corresponding problem set assigned (usually one per week). Due dates will be listed on the problem sets. Students are encouraged to work on these each night and use them as a tool to guide study groups. Due dates for problem sets are firm. If you are absent, it is expected that you get your problem set turned in. All chapters will have corresponding practice for the free response portion of the AP Exam. Some of these will be done as homework (Investigative Tasks) and some will be done under a time constraint in class (Frappys). They will be graded on the 4-point scale used by College Board. Each chapter or two will have a quiz to assess your understanding of the concepts presented in the chapter(s). In addition, there are Unit Exams to test multiple chapters. The unit exams will all be a combination of multiple choice and free response to give you practice for testing in the style expected on the May exam. 50% Multiple Choice and 50% Free Response. Pacing Unit/ Chapter Objectives Textbook Reading Unit I: Data Exploring and Understanding Data Chapters 1-5 I/1 Data -The W’s -Categorical vs Quantitative Read p. 1-10 Quiz/ Exam Date Quiz Monday 8/25/14 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School Unit/ Chapter I/2 Objectives Textbook Reading Quiz/ Exam Date -marginal distribution -conditional distribution -displaying categorical data -frequency/relative freq tables -area principle -Simpson’s paradox Read p. 14-32 Quiz Monday 8/25/14 -describing distributions -shape, center, spread -histograms -stem-and-leaf plots -timeplots Read p. 43-72 Quiz Monday 8/25/14 -summarizing distributions numerically -measures of center and spread -boxplots Read p. 83-96 Problem Set Investigative Task Quiz Wednesday 9/5/14 I/5 Standard Deviation and Normal Model -shifting and rescaling data -standardizing data with z scores -the Normal Model Read p. 107-130 Problem Set Investigative Task Quiz Friday 9/12/14 Unit I Exploring and Understanding Data Exam Exam Wednesday 9/17/13 Unit II: Relationships between Variables Exploring Relationships Between Variables Chapters 6-9 II/6 Scatterplots: Association and Correlation -Describing association with Read p. 150-166 Problem Set II/7 Linear Regression -Deriving and interpreting regression lines -correlation coefficient, R- squared. -understanding residuals -correlation and std deviation relationship -subsets, lurking variables -extrapolation -influential and highleverage points -straight enough and outlier conditions Categorical Data I/3 Quantitative Data I/4 Understanding and Comparing Distributions II/8 Regression Wisdom 2014-2015 form, direction and strength -explanatory vs response variables -outliers and lurking variables Read p. 176-198 Problem Set Investigative Task Mid-Unit Exam Ch 6/7 Friday 10/03/14 Read p. 209-222 Problem Set for chapters 9/10 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School Unit/ Chapter Objectives Textbook Reading Quiz/ Exam Date II/9 Reexpressing Data -Using re-expression to make Unit II Exploring Relationships Between Variables Exam Unit III Gathering Data: Randomness, Survey and Experimental Design Chapters 10-12 -randomness and simulation design Read p. 267-276 Problem Set for chapters 10/11 III/11 Sample Surveys -terminology of sampling -population parameters -bias in sampling Read p. 280-299 Problem Set for chapters 12 Ch 10/11 Quiz Friday 10/31/14 III/12 Experiments and Observational Studies -identifying elements of observational studies -principles of experimental design -effects of confounding and lurking variables on experiments and observational studies. Read p. 305325 Problem Set Ch 12 Quiz Take Home due Monday 11/10/14 Unit III Gathering Data Exam Exam Friday 11/14/14 Unit IV: Randomness and Probability Probability Rules and Models Chapters 13-16 IV/13 Probability -random phenomena -Law of Large Numbers -disjoint vs independent -Addition, Multiplication and Complement rules Read p. 343357 Problem Set IV/14 Probability Rules -General Addition and Multiplication Rules -conditional probability -independence -tree diagrams Read p. 363-382 Problem Set Investigative Task Ch 13/14 Quiz Wednesday 12/10/14 Final Exam Cumulative Final Exam Chapters 1-14 Third week in December Gathering Data III/10 Understanding Randomness data, more symmetric, straighter, more consistent -Ladder of Powers Read p. 232-247 Problem Set for chapters 9/10 Investigative Task Exam Wednesday 10/15/14 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School Unit/ Chapter Objectives IV/15 Random -creating probability models Variables -expected values Textbook Reading Read p. 389-407 Problem Set Quiz/ Exam Date Quiz Friday 1/16/15 -combining means and variances IV/16 Probability Models -Bernoulli trials -geometric and binomial models -success/failure condition Read p. 413-429 Problem Set Investigative Task Unit IV Randomness and Probability Exam Unit V: From Data at Hand to World at Large Distribution Models for Proportions Chapters 17-21 V/17 Sampling Distribution Models -Central Limit Theorem -mean and std dev of sample distributions -standard error Read p. 445-464 Problem Set V/18 Confidence Intervals for Proportions -construction of one-proportion zintervals -margin of error -interpretation of one-proportion z-interval Read p. 473-488 Problem Set V/19 Testing Hypotheses for Proportions -null and alternative hypotheses -conditions for z-test -perform a one-proportion z-test -interpret results of oneproportion z-test Read p. 493-511 Problem Set V/20 More About Tests -connecting hypothesis tests and confidence intervals -P-values and statistical significance -alpha levels and critical values -Type I and II errors -power and effect Read p. 516-535 Problem Set Investigative Task V/21 Comparing Two Proportions -hypotheses for testing difference of two proportions -confidence intervals and z-tests for the difference in two proportions -conditions for testing Read p. 541-556 Problem Set Unit V From Data at Hand to the World at Large Exam 2014-2015 Exam Wednesday 1/28/15 Ch 17/18 Quiz Tuesday 2/17/15 Ch 19/20 Quiz Tuesday 3/3/15 Exam Wednesday 3/11/14 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School Unit/ Chapter Objectives Textbook Reading Unit VI: Learning About the World Inference About Means Chapters 2224 VI/22: Inference about Means -assumptions for t-tests and intervals Read p. 574597 -compute and interpret t-tests and t-intervals Problem set VI/23 Comparing Means -conditions and assumptions for two-sample t-test and two-sample t-interval -perform and interpret two-sample t-tests and intervals -degrees of freedom Read p. 605624 VI/24 Paired Samples and Blocks -recognize whether two groups are paired or not -perform paired t-tests and create paired confidence intervals -interpret results of paired tests Read p. 634648 Problem Set Investigative Task Unit VI Inference About Means Problem Set Chapters 22-24 VII/25 Comparing Counts (ChiSquare) -Chi-square tests of goodness of fit, independence and homogeneity. -check conditions, perform and interpret above tests Read p. 672697; Problem set Investigative Task VII/26 Inferences for Regression -check conditions, perform t-test for the regression slope -create confidence intervals for a regression slope or predicted mean value. -interpret P-value for the t-test for slope and confidence interval for slope Read p. 706-729 Determining the appropriate test activity AP Exam Review Unit by Unit Review Various Activities for Homework Quiz/ Exam Date Ch 22/23 Quiz Tuesday 3/24/15 Exam Friday 4/3/14 Ch 25/26 TEST Friday 4/24/15 Practice AP Exam Tuesday 1-20 Multiple Choice Wednesday 21-40 Multiple Choice + 1-3 Free Response Friday 4-6 Free Response Practice AP Exam TuesdayFriday 4/28, 4/29, 5/1 AP Exam Afternoon exam 12:30-4:00 Wed 5/13/14 AP Statistics Syllabus Paige Rios St Helena High School 2014-2015

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